TAL Education Group (MEX:TAL N) Altman Z-Score: 2.71 (As of Jul. 01, 2026) — 46% Below Median


MEX:TAL N TAL Education Group MEX:TAL N
64 GF Score
Price MXN155.00
GF Value MXN335.10
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is TAL Education Group Altman Z-Score?

TAL Education Group MEX:TAL N 64 Altman Z-Score is 2.71 as of Jul. 01, 2026, which is 46% below its 10-year median of 4.98. GuruFocus rates MEX:TAL N with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN335.10 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 250 Education companies, TAL Education Group ranks better than 55.6% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.75 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

TAL Education Group has a Altman Z-Score of 2.71, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that TAL Education Group is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for TAL Education Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:TAL N' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.88   Med: 4.98   Max: 12.11
Current: 2.75

During the past 13 years, TAL Education Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 12.11. The lowest was 1.88. And the median was 4.98.


TAL Education Group  (MEX:TAL N) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


TAL Education Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms


TAL Education Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for TAL Education Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

TAL Education Group Altman Z-Score Chart

TAL Education Group Annual Data
Trend Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24 Feb25 Feb26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.88 3.59 4.90 3.63 2.89

TAL Education Group Quarterly Data
May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.63 2.52 2.92 2.57 2.89

MEX:TAL N vs LAUR, GHC, CVSA: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, TAL Education Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TAL Education Group Altman Z-Score vs Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, TAL Education Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TAL Education Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.


MEX:TAL N
64GF Score
TAL Education Group MEX:TAL N
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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TAL Education Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

TAL Education Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.3497+1.4*-0.022+3.3*0.1208+0.6*2.3087+1.0*0.5414
=2.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2026:
Total Assets was MXN102,227 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN66,181 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN30,432 Mil.
Retained Earnings was MXN-2,246 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 5526.157 + 2675.558 + 3318.013 + 826.557 = MXN12,346 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = MXN0 Mil.
Revenue was 13817.7 + 14109.628 + 16245.541 + 11172.293 = MXN55,345 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was MXN85,979 Mil.
Total Liabilities was MXN37,242 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(66181.182 - 30432.18)/102227.052
=0.3497

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2246.061/102227.052
=-0.022

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(12346.285 - 0)/102227.052
=0.1208

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=85978.500/37241.538
=2.3087

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=55345.162/102227.052
=0.5414

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

TAL Education Group has a Altman Z-Score of 2.71 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 2.71 mean?
TAL Education Group (MEX:TAL N) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.71 as of Jul. 01, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on TAL Education Group and its competitors. This is 46% below median its historical median of 4.98. Over the past decade, TAL Education Group's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.88 to 12.11. According to the industry distribution chart, TAL Education Group ranks #111 out of 250 companies in the Education industry, placing it in the top 44.4%.
Is TAL Education Group's Altman Z-Score too high?
TAL Education Group's current Altman Z-Score of 2.71 is 46% below median its 10-year median of 4.98. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.88 to a high of 12.11. The Education industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.36. TAL Education Group's value of 2.71 is 14.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, TAL Education Group ranks #111 out of 250 companies in the Education industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, TAL Education Group has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does TAL Education Group's Altman Z-Score compare to LAUR and GHC?
According to the Education industry distribution chart, TAL Education Group ranks #111 out of 250 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts TAL Education Group in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.36. TAL Education Group's value of 2.71 is 14.8% above this benchmark. Historically, TAL Education Group's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.88 to 12.11 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 4.98 vs. the industry median of 2.36, TAL Education Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Education company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Education companies is 2.36, based on 250 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. TAL Education Group's current Altman Z-Score of 2.71 is 14.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on TAL Education Group and its competitors. For the Education industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.36 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. TAL Education Group's current Altman Z-Score is 2.71, which is 46% below median its own 10-year median of 4.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is TAL Education Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TAL Education Group (MEX:TAL N) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN335.10, compared to a current price of MXN155.00 — trading 53.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 2.71, which is 46% below median its 10-year median of 4.98 and 14.8% above the Education industry median of 2.36. TAL Education Group's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For TAL Education Group (MEX:TAL N), the current Altman Z-Score is 2.71 as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is TAL Education Group (MEX:TAL N) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TAL Education Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN155.00 is trading 53.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN335.10. GuruFocus considers TAL Education Group to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:TAL N:

  • Altman Z-Score: 2.71 (46% below median its 10-year median of 4.98)
  • GF Value™: MXN335.10 vs. price of MXN155.00 (53.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 14.8% above the Education median (#111 of 250)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:TAL N stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


TAL Education Group Business Description

Address Qixin Middle Street, TAL Building No.1, Courtyard No. 9, Changping District, Beijing, CHN, 102200
TAL Education Group is a leading learning solutions provider in China. It operates a few business lines including enrichment learning, high school academic tutoring, learning technology, and content solutions. Among those business lines, TAL focuses on enrichment learning and content solutions.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:TAL N

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN155.00
Price
MXN335.10
GF Value